Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases title=
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases
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By edhat staff

On Wednesday, Santa Barbara County Public Health (PHD) announced 10 new cases drawing the total confirmed COVID-19 count to 228 within the county.

SBC Public Health Numbers

The ages of the 10 new cases range from their 30s to over 70. Of the 228 total confirmed patients, 112 are recovering at home, 69 have fully recovered, 37 are hospitalized with 17 of those in the intensive care unit (ICU), 8 are pending, and there have been 2 deaths. The full set of data on each patient can be found here.

Santa Barbara County Public Health Officer Dr. Henning Ansorg stated that as we continue to see an increase of confirmed cases throughout the county, it is following a linear pathway and has not evolved into an exponential pattern, which he was initially worried about.

"The fact that our numbers are increasing along such a linear path is reassuring and is a direct result of our community's concerted effort to slow down the spread of the novel-coronavirus and flatten the curve of cases," said Dr. Ansorg. "With this development, I now can comfortably state that we as a county are meeting our ongoing goal with our efforts to limit the spread as much as possible in our geographic area."

Dr. Ansorg reminded the community not to waiver and continue to wear a face covering, stay home, practice social distancing and good hygiene.

Clarification of Penn Modeling

Chair of the Santa Barbara County Board of Supervisors Gregg Hart and Santa Barbara County Health Department Director Dr. Van Do-Reynoso clarified questions regarding the Penn Model used at Tuesday's Supervisor meeting

"The most important take away [from the model presentation] was to show the powerful effectiveness physical distancing can have on stopping the spread of the virus, flattening the infection curve, and reducing the patient surge to our medical system," said County Supervisor Gregg Hart.

He continued to emphasize the graphs were intended to illustrate how different levels of physical distancing can dramatically flatten the infection curve and potentially match up the capacity with our medical system. The graphs show a direct connection between what each of us is doing to stop the spread of the virus and the lives that will be saved if we continue and even get better at social distancing.

"This is very good news," said Hart. "The more we reduce infections, the better our medical system can treat patients. It's that simple."

Dr. Do-Reynoso also emphasized the nature of models is not for rigid predictions but instead as planning tools. Based on the model, it's clear how much social distancing impacts the capacity of healthcare facilities, and that's what they're planning for. She stated the model will produce different dates as real-time data is continuously updated. 

Cottage Health Numbers

Below is a status update as of April 8, 2020. 

·         Cottage is caring for 135 patients; 238 beds remain available.  

·         In surge planning, capacity is identified for adding 270 acute care beds.

·         Of the 135 patients, 13 patients are on ventilators; 47 ventilators remain available (adult, pediatric and neonatal ventilators)

·         Of the 135 patients, 14 patients are in isolation with confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis.

·         Of the 14 patients in isolation, 7 patients are in critical care.

·         Cottage has collected 1,428 cumulative test samples: 111 resulted in positive, 1,219 resulted in negative, and 98 are pending

Ventura and SLO Counties

As of Wednesday evening, Ventura County is reporting 20 new cases for a total of 263 confirmed cases. Of the 263, there are 96 recovered cases, 52 that were ever hospitalized with 17 of those currently in the ICU, 160 under home quarantine, and 7 deaths. Of the 7 deaths, 5 were people in their 70s and 2 were in their 80s, all with preexisting health conditions.

In San Luis Obispo County, there are 102 confirmed cases with 25 recovering at home, 73 fully recovered, 3 in the ICU, and 1 death.

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Chip of SB Apr 09, 2020 02:29 PM
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

And you should not downplay driving 500,000,000 people into poverty worldwide which will cause more death and destruction than the corona virus!

a-1586468237 Apr 09, 2020 02:37 PM
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

CHIP - if we did nothing, there would be far more the 500mil people (source please?) in poverty. You and others don't seem to understand the simple facts here. This is a potential PLAGUE. No matter what we do, it's here, it's deadly and it's incurable. If we do nothing, then many many will die, if we do something, just many will die. You see how that works? We're screwed no matter what, but if we make an effort, then we can lose less people. Is that the "hardworking," bootstrap-pulling anti-liberals are just lazy and don't want to make the effort to spare as many as possible? What's your reasoning here?

Chip of SB Apr 09, 2020 02:41 PM
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

I agree, there is no proven treatment for the corona virus at this time. Even getting the full hospital ICU treatment and being put on a ventilator seems to have a very low impact on surviaval rate. However, the fatality rate from the corona virus is relatively low overall and even the the "models" now indicate it will be comparable to a flu season. On the other hand, starvation is entirely preventable, civil unrest is preventable, and war is preventable. If we get everyone back to work NOW, we might have still have a chance at preventing the worst of these outcomes around the world. If we persist with "social isolation" much longer, then God help us...

Pugluvr1912 Apr 09, 2020 02:43 PM
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

It is definitely not low. And this is worse than the flu. Now is not the time to go back to work. The death toll has gone up by almost 3,000 today in the us

a-1586469480 Apr 09, 2020 02:58 PM
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

CHIP - if we get back to work "NOW" those earlier models will be accurate. You're missing the critical link in logic here - numbers are lower than anticipated BECAUSE we shut down.

Chip of SB Apr 09, 2020 03:13 PM
Wednesday Update: 228 Total Coronavirus Cases

Please consider the statistics section of this webpage: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starvation#Starvation_statistics ----I would encourage you to contemplate how these numbers will change in response to a global economic depression. I appreciate that everyone wants to sacrifice, pitch in, and help save lives. However, destroying the economy will cost lives rather than save lives.

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