Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

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By edhat staff

The Santa Barbara County Public Health Department (PHD) reported an additional 184 COVID-19 cases on Tuesday raising the active case count to 371.

The total number of cases is not 4,323 with 76 hospitalizations including 22 in the intensive care unit (ICU).

The County's Health Officer, Dr. Henning Ansorg, officially issued a new health order to comply with the Governor's latest round of closures that include indoor business operations. This includes gyms, offices, hair salons, and places of worship.

This new health order also eliminates the expiration date that was initially set for July 26th. The order can be found here.

During Tuesday morning's County Board of Supervisor's meeting, PHD Director Dr. Van Do-Reynoso confirmed the county's COVID-19 cases have increased by 43% in the past two weeks. However, approximately 8% of the total cases are active and last week there was a downward tapering of active cases, she said.

Santa Barbara County has been on the state's monitoring list for 29 consecutive days as benchmarks have not been met in two categories. 

Within the county, there are 34% of all medical/surgical hospital beds, 38% of ICU beds, and 80% of all ventilators available. The California Department of Public Health (CDPH) is concerned that only 40% of personal protective gear (PPE) is available. However, Do-Reynoso believes this may be an error in reporting and PHD is working to connect with one hospital to verify the data.

For elevated disease transmission, the state becomes concerned if the case rate is higher than 25 per 100,000 residents, currently Santa Barbara County has 242 exceeding state rate by almost ten times. Additionally, the COVID-19 positive testing rate is outpacing the state's average reaching 9.7% where the cutoff is 8%.

Dr. Do-Reynoso confirmed she anticipates further modifications from Governor Newsom as he's looking broadly at the state and making modifications in a rapid fashion to affect significant change.

More data can be found at publichealthsbc.org

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SBLetsGetAlong Jul 16, 2020 11:31 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

Active Cases down from yesterday to 344 down from 371 a day ago.
What no headlines? No news report?
Why not?
The media & govt doesn’t care about people getting better? Not about people getting sick?
Seriously, if you’re boast the bad, boast the good as well.
Pathetic, only reporting an increase and a day later they do r report the almost 10% decrease in Active Cases.
Shame on you.

SBLetsGetAlong Jul 15, 2020 02:27 PM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

July 8 - 444 Active Cases.
Today - 371 Active Cases.
So why is the headline, “ ACTIVE COVID-19 CASES INCREASE ”

SBLetsGetAlong Jul 15, 2020 01:29 PM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

Gotta live the headline “ ACTIVE COVID-19 CASES INCREASE TO 371”
July 8 there were 444 Active Cases. (SBPHD)
I never saw a headline stating cases were down.
But that doesn’t strike fear into people.
4,323 positive “cases” out of 445,000 people.
And all of those are not verified with testing. Many are assumed Covid cases. Ask SBPHD yourself. Such as the gymnastic team where one person tested positive do SBPHD added the entire team to the positive Covid count. No testing. Just assumed since they are on the same team that they are all positive.
Also, if you have a cough and a fever, you have Covid according to CDC & SBPHD.
Either way less than 1% of SB had Covid.
Currently 371 people “actually” have Covid out of 445,000 people.
Hospitals are at 62% capacity including non Covid & Covid cases.
But that doesn’t frighten people so why talk about that?

goletaspring Jul 15, 2020 10:01 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

With 184 new cases yesterday and over a hundred each day this week, how are there only 371 active cases? Maybe I'm not understanding the definition of active cases...

a-1594831696 Jul 15, 2020 09:48 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

Keeping up with the range on opinions on this local topic: ........."Perhaps the return to normal school functioning is the greatest threat for the (opposition party) s; the economy cannot fully recover from the COVID shutdown until schools allow parents to resume their jobs. The reporting is all focused on negativity regarding the risk to children. In fact, the teacher unions want to keep schools closed, which gives teachers their full income without any risk as an essential worker. Their political clout is noticeable but will likely backfire. ........"

a-1594830947 Jul 15, 2020 09:35 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

Who can direct me to the governor's legal authority to shut everything down due to these alleged "covid" health and safety threats. Can this same authority be used to shut down the health and safety threats vagrant camps impose on us as well?

PitMix Jul 16, 2020 07:35 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

2nd math error of the week. Afflicted rate is 0.8% or 0.008 fraction. But afflicted rate has a lot to do with testing, so better to look at hospitalization, ICU, and death rates.

PitMix Jul 15, 2020 01:55 PM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

Someone busted me for the decimal point the other day, so I will return the gesture of goodwill. 371/450,000 is =~0.00125 which is about 0.125%. Don't thank me, thank math.

Shasta Guy Jul 14, 2020 07:59 PM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

It looks like the genie is out of the bottle in Santa Maria. Everyone needs to remain vigilant. I’m off to Mount Shasta for two weeks starting Saturday, and it can’t come soon enough. All of Siskiyou county has had only a total of 37 cases since February so it will seem like a virus free paradise.

Shasta Guy Jul 14, 2020 08:26 PM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

I will take several series of photos from all the hikes we plan to do, and I hope to turn them into a series of articles for Edhat. Mount Shasta is a long trek from SB, but it is incredibly beautiful and peaceful. There’s a spot in the city park called the “Headwaters of the Sacramento River” which is a natural spring that flows into the Sacramento. You can dip your cup or 5 gallon jug and drink the delicious water directly. Or you can go to the Sierra Club “cabin” at 8,000’ and drink pure Mount Shasta water From the spring there that percolated through the Mountain from the high alpine snowfields...

ChemicalSuperFreak Jul 14, 2020 07:19 PM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

"However, approximately 8% of the total cases are active and last week there was a downward tapering of active cases, she [Dr. Van Do-Reynoso] said." While I appreciate her optimism, if you begin on Monday you actually see a massive increase in active cases, followed by a diminishing of these cases toward the end of the week (380, 432, 444, 360, 346) and as of today we're basically back to the beginning of last week’s numbers (371). We can expect these active case numbers to fluctuate wildly depending on tests reported/day, and even as a result of when tests are "lost", so these numbers can be your friend one day and enemy the next. Myopically focusing on just Thursday and Friday numbers sets a bad precedent, and some might call it "cherry picking". I think a one to two week moving average is probably a better metric. There's nothing wrong with giving out a little hope, but some may seize on this and relax the new and difficult habits we've all had to adopt to keep COVID in check.

a-1594839230 Jul 15, 2020 11:53 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

@9:15am, and there, right in your comment, lies the massive misconception that people are Just . Not. Getting. Yes, outcomes are good right now because EVERYONE who needs medical attention is getting it. Great. But you need to consider how the general public is going to interpret that information - if we stop wearing masks and social distancing (as many already are!), cases will spike, hospitals will fill, we will run out of enough medical professionals and supplies, and NOT everyone will be able to get medical attention. Not even close. Guess what? Deaths will spike, outcomes will not be good. So yeah, it's "good news" for now, that should have no bearing whatsoever on how people act - but the general public will hear that "good news" and adjust their habits accordingly.

a-1594829707 Jul 15, 2020 09:15 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

Actually, they are announcing good news - look how many get this bug and recover and how miniscule the over all impact is on the entire county population. Who is still perpetuating a single covid bug is an automatic death sentence. And why? What are they trying to gain doing this.

a-1594829206 Jul 15, 2020 09:06 AM
Active COVID-19 Cases Increase to 371

I agree, and this is an ongoing problem with the doctors of SB Public Health. It is very clear they do not have (or are not using) training in statistics or statistical significance. I also think that announcing bad news day after day is probably taking a toll on them, we are all only human, but they need to be more mindful of what they're saying. This is not the first time they have expressed optimism and cheered on a one-day downward trend, only for the long-term upward trends to continue the next day. Please, doctors, stop praising very short-term dips! It is frankly dangerous and gives people a false sense of security. To be clear, I appreciate everything our local figurehead doctors are doing. We all have room to improve.

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